Cheltenham ante-post bets 2009 By Ricky Taylor
The Cheltenham festival is getting closer and I’m very much focussed on stealing some value out of the ante-post markets.
The strategy is not necessarily to identify the winner of the big races but to identify those horses that represent good value in the ante-post listings. The aim is to identify a few horses that look over-priced and hope that they will shorten dramatically come the big day. This would thereby create opportunities to either hold a position or lay-off all or part of the bet on the exchanges.
The World Hurdle
The World Hurdle looks very interesting to me because I think that Kasbah Bliss looks the most likely winner. I’ve already invested at 7 to 2 and he is currently on offer at around 100 to 30 on the exchanges. I think anything above 2 to 1 is good value because I can only see Big Bucks and Punchestowns as the dangers.
Big Bucks looks the most dangerous rival because he has just beaten Punchestowns at Cheltenham. The ground was bottomless that day and on firmer ground the placings between these two might be reversed. However, if the ground was riding fast I think Kasbah Bliss would be a good thing. He would have simply too much flat race speed for either Big Bucks or Punchestowns because it has to be remembered that he finished fourth in a Group One flat race at Longchamp last year and won a Group race and other flat races since his Cheltenham exploits.
The best festival form is past festival form and Kasbah Bliss wasn’t too far behind Inglis Dreaver in the race last year and he looks to be on the upgrade. His trainer knows how to win races at Cheltenham and he knows when he has a good horse, and he has always held Kasbah Bliss in the highest regard. At this stage he looks like a banker.
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