Objective form reading (From a laying perspective)
Can it be a profitable pursuit?
In this article I’m going to try and dispel some of the myths surrounding form reading and hopefully point you in the direction of some profitable, time saving angles when assessing races.
A lot of punters are very skeptical about whether or not form reading is worth the effort. In my opinion it’s a bit like learning to drive a car in some aspects, although there are changes to the rules of the road and advancements over time the core principles remain pretty much the same. In other words all the effort and energy is done at the beginning, whilst learning.
But once you are familiar and have experience then things become a whole lot easier, as long as you specialize and keep an intuitive eye on subtle, but important developments with the racing game.
Probably the main area where new form students struggle most, is with practical interpretation of the form factors presented to them in the daily form guide, often pretty much everything is taken on face value, and either over or under analyzed. This is only natural really, after all, the hard work is supposed to be already prepared and presented in a palatable format within the racing guide.
Unfortunately time and again there is a degree of personal opinion, and an element of speculation implied by the pro race readers, even when the ratings suggest the likely winner of a race. Although ratings are a very useful tool in race analysis, they are not the be all and end all of assessment. Any rating whether it is, RPR (Racing Post Rating) or TS (Topspeed Rating) – should only be considered a quick reference point to assess one horse’s ability over another.
These ratings are compiled with the aid of a computer to establish a bench mark within every race; that benchmark is usually the top rated horse followed in descending order by other horses. On many occasions these ratings are close, thus meaning races can be considerably more competitive than the race reader is implying in his analysis.
Some races simply can’t be assessed accurately with ratings, whilst others can. This is why new punters often get disillusioned with form reading; basically they are applying generic rules of race assessment to the wrong races. Needless to say this is a pointless exercise, and exactly why a specialist approach is far more productive in the long run.
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