The poor run continued yesterday so hopefully just a matter of time before previous normal winning service is resumed….

Today we have a few running at Day 1 of the Cheltenham Festival

1.30 Chain of Command – 1 pt each-way(without Dunguid market)

2.40 Niche Market – 1 pt win

3.20 Go Native – 2 pts win

4.40 Quevega – 3 pts win

2.05 Somersby – 3 pts win

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Product Name: All Out Winners
Supplier/Author: Earl Morgan
Website: http://www.alloutwinners.com
Price: £27.00
Category: Horse Racing Backing System

Product Overview

All Out Winners comes as a compact one page PDF system and is quite simply, a system for backing horses to win.

Summary

I really am struggling here to find enough to call this a review apart from telling you that it has every indication that someone has gone through backdated results, found a few parameters that fit and thought “oh I can sell this”.

Not being a handwriting expert but my wife said to me “doesn’t all the testimonials on the sales appear to be in the same handwriting”. Enough said.

Now I could be completely wrong but even the sales page strikes me as ‘different’, to say the least. The cost of the 1 page PDF is £27.00 but if you go to close the sales page down a new box pops up asking if you really want to leave.

If you then continue and read the second page you can now get a very special discount of £10.00. Hmm why not just sell it for £17.00 in the first place? Maybe I am missing some great marketing ploy. (These offers are all the rage now, my advice is never buy anything without leaving the page 1st to see if there is a discount, Darren)

Detailed Findings

As I think I have already mentioned what you get is one page, now I am not knocking this in the slightest as it could be that the simplest methods are the most profitable.

The author claims to have paper traded this system through 2008 and decided to give it a go in 2009, when he reckons to have made over £50k in profits.

This article is a Betting School Insiders Club member only article, members can read on by clicking here.
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One of the Golf tips is still sharing the lead but the tourney is still in play due to bad light…..fingers crossed.

Today’s Horse Racing

Taunt 5.20 Rebel Dancer – 1 pt win

Strat 5.10 Attaglance – 1 pt win

Taunt 3.20 Fix the Rib – 1 pt win (too short price!)

Taunt 4.20 Cloudier – 1 pt win

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The Queen Mother Champion Chase is one of the most eagerly anticipated races of the Cheltenham festival. It has a great history and there have been some great winners of the race. A number of horses have notched up a sequence in this race. Pearlyman, Badsworth Boy, Moscow Flyer, Viking Flagship and Master Minded all recorded more than one win in the race in recent years.

This is a race where class clearly counts and it is often the best two miler in training that wins the race. I can’t think of too many horses that dominated the two-mile division but failed to take the Champion Chase.

Probably the most remarkable winner of the race was the great Flyingbolt. He won the race in 1966 by more than 20 lengths as a warm-up for the following days Champion Hurdle. In the latter he led at the last and finished a close third despite over jumping every flight. To prove his versatility he finished the season by winning the Irish Grand National in a canter over a distance nearly twice that of the Champion Chase. A remarkable horse.

Memories of Flyingbolt’s 1966 Champion Chase win resurfaced in recent years with the win of Master Minded in 2008. In the view of many commentators this was the best performance in the race since Flyingbolt. However, his 2009 win was less impressive but having put up a stunning performance in the Game Spirit at Newbury last time out he looks set to play a major hand in this year’s renewal. However, will he be my systems selection for the race?

I have studied all the major trends for this race and have run the data through my computer scores of times. The answer that pops out of the machine is always the same. There are just three key factors that consistently pick the winner of this race.

This article is a Betting School Insiders Club member only article, members can read on by clicking here.
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This month’s system may seem a little bit like ‘after the bird has flown’ but is certainly one to keep in your portfolio for the coming winters especially as the experts are predicting global warming will create colder winters!! Someone will have to explain that one to me sometime?

Anyway the fact is that the all weather has kept the racing industry ticking over while the jump racing has again been frozen off, I just wish the quality of the racing on the surface would improve slightly from dire to desirable.

I was researching one thing last month and as is the case one bit of information can lead you down a blind alley but there you may stumble across other useful information. I was doing a little research on favourites and came across a little gem for the laying on the all weather.

I was looking at favourites between the prices of below 2-1 (15/8) down to 1-2.
I keyed in all of the all weather tracks with any worthwhile data i.e. Kempton, Southwell and Lingfield and Wolverhampton. The method showed a nice loss to level stakes, but favourites at this price must have an extremely good record at Kempton because eliminating this track vastly improves the losses incurred using this method.

This article is a Betting School Insiders Club members only article, members can read on by clicking here.
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Well not so much cream but skimmed milk at the moment…..but given the track record of these guys I am sure it will not be long before the winners start rolling in

Todays Horses

Warw 2.00 Artic Bliss – 1 pt win

M.Rasen 3.10 Cross Compliance – 1 pt win

M.Rasen 2.40 Malakai – 1 pt win

M.Rasen 5.10 Overlaw – 1 pt win

On a slightly more positive note one of the golf tips given on Weds is currently leading the Puerto Rico Open…lets hope Chad Collins who was put up at 40/1 does the business.

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As we all know these days, the only way to make a profit over a long period of time at horse racing is to find an edge. Over the years, many people have tried a number of techniques to try and find that edge. The concept of studying form and evaluating the true percentage chance of a horse for a race and then observing the market prices of that horse just prior to the off and then seeing if there is any discrepancy between our perceived chance of a horse winning and its current trading price, is certainly one way of going about trying to get that edge.

However, the problem is that evaluating the true percentage chance of a horse can be very subjective and what might seem great value to one person may not seem great value to another. At the end of the day, there are just too many variables for someone to put their hand on their heart and say that they have an edge.

We need to find a technique where we really are quite convinced that we have an edge.

An area where skill can be of great help is reading a race in-running as it unfolds. People with fast pictures or people who are actually at the race track certainly have an edge over the people sat back in their armchair at home watching a TV picture that can be delayed by up to five seconds.

There are certainly many people who have great skill in picking the winner with two furlongs to go. So the big question is, how can we use the skill that these people possess?

This article is a Betting School Insiders Club member only article, members can read on by clicking here.
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No joy from yesterdays selections with just a 7/2 3rd place.

Today we have

Wolv 4.35 Northern Dare – 1 pt win

and the already advised  Sand 3.05 Tocca Ferro – 3 pts win

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Courtesy of  Paddy Power

For this weekend we are looking at a straightforward bet that we can make using the Paddy Power Imperial Cup offer to extract some free money from the bookies

Go to www.oddschecker.com and from the menu on the left hand side select horse racing. Then select the meeting Sandown and pick any race. Where the bookmakers are shown locate Paddy Power and move your mouse over the “Bookie Offers” symbol next to Paddy Power. A pop-up window will appear with details of the special offer of a free bet. Click on the offer button and open a new account.

This will entitle you to receive a free bet which will match the value of your first bet placed up to a maximum of £25.00. You can either use this to back your favourite football team or fancy on the weekends big horse race. (Please read the Paddy Power terms and conditions carefully to ensure that you meet the requirements).

An alternative use of the FREE money could be to have a “CRAIC” with it by following this simple but completely Irish Method. You need to find a horse that can finish 5^th……… yes 5^th in the Paddy Power sponsored Imperial Cup that is being staged at Sandown on Saturday 13^th March (15.05): As the sponsor of this race Paddy Power are offering to pay out on the first five finishers, whereas normally, and with most other book makers only 4 places will be paid on each-way bets.

Read the form book or do what you would normally do to find a selection in this race………… I would go for one in the first 5 or 6 in the betting as it is more likely to run well, but also the second part of the “CRAIC” bet involves “laying” on Betfair, and the shorter price means you will need less in your Betfair account to cover the lay liability. By the way Betfair also offer a free bet bonus so if you do not have an account click here to open one and claim the free bet bonus.

Right, let’s say your selection is 10/1 or 11.0 in decimal format. The each-way terms for this race are ¼ odds for a place, so this works out to 3.50 (including your stake). To work out the calculation refer to the Oddschecker site and in the top right hand side there is a button called “Betting Tools”. Click the drop down menu and select “Hedging” and a new window will open. In the “Back Price” box type in the decimal win odds of the horse that you have selected (price at Paddy Power), in our example this is 11.00. Change the “Back Stake” to £12.50 and after looking at the Betfair win market the same horses “Lay Price”. This will generally be slightly higher as the prices on Betfair are normally better than those available with the Book Makers. Let’s say our horse is available at 11.70. (Leave “Commission” as the default).

By entering the “Lay Price” as 11.70 the calculator will tell you to lay £11.80 @ 11.70 and whether the horse wins or loses you will lose £1.29.

Now do the same calculation on the place price. Type in 3.50 in the back price and the Betfair place market lay price, let’s say 3.70. Press recalculate and the display will show that you need to lay £11.99 @ 3.70 and whether your horse wins or loses you will lose £1.11.

Your Betfair account will need to be funded by approximately £160.00 to cover the total liability.

Now fund your new Paddy Power account with £25.00 and place £12.50 each-way on your selection and straight after place your lay bets on Betfair.

You can then sit down with a glass of something cold…….maybe a Guinness….. and watch the race safe in the knowledge that at worst you have had a free bet.

Let’s see what can happen.

1. Your horse runs a brilliant race and actually WINS.

Paddy Power will payout your winnings to you of £181.25 which, less your original stake of £25 is £156.25 profit.

Your lay bets on Betfair lost, so you will lose £158.65 on those meaning you are £2.40 down, BUT…….when your bet is settled Paddy Power will place a £25.00 free bet in your account so you will be £22.60 to the good.

This bet can then be used to place a bet on your next event (check the terms and conditions).

2. Your horse runs well but finished 3^rd

Paddy Power will pay out your placed winnings of £43.75 which less your original stake of £25.00 is £18.75 profit.

Your Betfair place lay bet loses but your win lay bet wins so your Betfair account will show a net loss of £21.15 meaning you are £2.40 down…. BUT….Paddy Power will still give you the free bet of £25.00 so you will be £22.60 to the good.

And finally the “CRAIC”

3. Your horse finishes 5^th.

You will be paid out by Paddy Power as part of their special place terms offer…………..so your profit will be £18.75, but even better news is the Betfair lay bets both will pay out as the place liability is on the first 4 places only. So you will be in profit at Betfair by £22.60 making a total of £41.35.

But remember Paddy Power are also going to give you the £25.00 free bet, so you will be in profit by £66.35 and all you had to do was a few clicks of the mouse, drink your cold one and watch the horse race.

That sounds like my kind of fun.

Enjoy the Craic.

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Yesterdays horse racing selections only produced a couple of 2nd placers @8/1 and 3/1.

Today we have

Leic 4.15 Champtho – 1 pt win

Leic 2.30 Fassoroe – 1 pt win

Wolv 7.50 Kidlat – 3 pts win

Ante-post

Imperial Cup(Sat) Tocca Ferro 3 pts win

Chelt/thurs Smoking Aces – 3 pts win+1 pt place(use a bookie offering non-runner no bet)

On the Golf bets put up a few days ago 3 of the 5 in the WGC are well placed after the 1st round.

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