The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 23rd Jan)
The weather has been playing havoc with the horse racing fixtures of late with a number of meetings being lost to the elements. Hopefully the top class cards from Ascot and Haydock will be able to go ahead on Saturday as each feature races that could have a significant impact on the plans for the Cheltenham Festival which is beginning to loom large on the horizon. Our Big Race Specialist Dr Nick Hardman will be using his insightful trends to help Insiders Club members narrow down the runners to a select group of likely contenders with his final selections being emailed out first thing Saturday morning.
Nick had a spectacular 2015 with his Big Race selections pulling in over 400pts profit combined with a very commendable +23% ROI. You can find out more about the successful techniques he uses in this video presentation:-
As an avid researcher Nick often comes across really interesting trainer trends and over time these have evolved into profitable micro methods which are published in the monthly members reports and the subsequent qualifiers are made available on a daily basis on dedicated community/forum threads. In the brand new report (Issue 129) Nick delved into a particular type of race, namely modest grade Handicap Hurdles, and his findings uncovered a trio of trainers who could be worth following during 2016 and beyond. One of the three is a relatively new kid on the block:-
Henry Oliver started training just a few short years ago and has made an immediate impact. His first handicap hurdlers arrived on the scene in 2013 and since then he has banged in 25 winners from just 87 runners at a SR of 29% for an overall level stakes profit of £74.05.
Class 4 races appear to be the most profitable of the two race classes where his runners have a record of 16-52 in the last 3 years, generating a profit of £59.50. The class 5 runners chip in with a record of 9-35 for a profit of £14.55 which is still a decent SR and a decent return.
He does not run many over 3 mile trips and it is his 2 milers who fare best of all with 9 wins from 27 runners since 2013. In fact we can probably stick to all runners between 2 miles and 2m 4 ½f as thy have a combined record of 25-75 (33% SR) and have returned a healthy profit of £86.05. A whopping 53% over these distances have either won or placed and backing them all each-way would have seen profits rocket to £102.84.
The 25 handicap hurdle winners have come at 14 different tracks so he does not appear to favour any one track in particular. Given the aforementioned record it could pay to play close attention to Henry Oliver’s class 4 and 5 handicap hurdlers going forward.
You can find out how to get your hands on the complete research article including the two other profitable trainers with a similar profit profile here.
Big Race Selections
Sat 23rd Jan – Ascot 2.25pm
Kilcrea Vale was one of my ante-post fancies for Cheltenham last year but he didn’t end up running. He remains potentially very smart despite falling LTO and he certainly falls into the “could be anything category”. Theo’s Charm was 7th in the Champion Bumper and steps up in class but could well be a lot better than a 132 rated handicapper.
Theo’s Charm @7/1 (Generally available)
Kilcrea Vale @11/1 e/w (Generally available, 1/4 odds, 4 places)
All that remains is to wish you a great weekend from the Betting Insiders team!
Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve