The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 11th June)
Last time around we shared the Insiders Club “Big Race/Festival” guru’s key stats and final selections for the Investec Derby which provided a thrilling race on Saturday afternoon. Nick stuck to his guns given the open looking nature of the race and used his “Always go for value, if you think a horse’s odds are bigger than they should be then consider backing it” technique to offer up Across The Stars and Idaho as the EW value punts.
Come the business end of the race the former clearly couldn’t handle the course or possibly the occasion but Idaho made a great bid for glory 2f out only to be overhauled by two better fancied rivals before staying on to finish a clear third and land the place spoils and ensure a small profit on the Blue Riband contest!
For members of the Insiders Club it proved to be another cracking weekend overall as Nick followed a similar path for the French equivalent over at Chantilly and landed the 20/1 winner Almanzor! With Royal Ascot on the horizon you may be interested to find out more about Nick Hardman’s “Big Race Techniques” in this interesting video.
This weekend sees the Euro 2016 football tournament get underway and the latest Insiders Report (Issue 134) provides extensive coverage from our team of industry respected pundits with suggested bets on the outrights, Group stages and goalscorer markets. You can find out how to get your hands on a copy and a whole lot more here.
Here are the thoughts of Jamie Pacheco on a selection of opening fixtures:-
England v Russia
What can we say about England v Russia? Well at least there seems to be a greater element of freshness about this England side, especially with the presence of Tottenham duo Delle Ali and Harry Kane in the squad who combined brilliantly in the latter part of the season. Whilst England could make the semis we are far from convinced this mostly young team is capable of going further than that. However they should be too good for Russia and start off with a win in their opening fixture.
Republic of Ireland v Sweden
I don’t think there will be too many neutrals rushing to go and watch this fixture which appears to be between two teams who are hard to beat. We know what to expect from the Republic of Ireland, an old-fashioned 4-4-2 or 4-4-1-1 made up of good, solid Premier League players working hard for each other under the guidance of Martin O’Neill and Roy Keane. Plenty of hard-running, some tasty tackles in midfield and either try to get the pacy Shane Long running behind Sweden’s backline or create something from a set piece. Sweden are somewhat similar in many ways with two key differences: I’d say the standard of the average player is maybe a notch below that of the Irish but they do of course have Zlatan Ibrahmovic, arguably the only world class player on the pitch. He’s come off an excellent season and was the key man as ever when they got past Denmark in the play-offs and for me his presence very much levels things out.
Austria v Hungary
Austria might be the most underrated side at the tournament. In that group with Sweden and Russia, they won nine from 10 matches, only dropping points in a home draw with Sweden, their very first match. As part of my other work, I recently interviewed a former Austrian player who has genuine expectations of a semi-final place for this side. With the possible exception of David Alaba, the super-versatile Bayern Munich man who Austria play in midfield, and Stoke’s Marko Arnautovic, this is a team devoid of stars but that’s not a bad thing. They’re a bit like Ireland, in that most of their players feature in a neighbouring super league (in this case, the Bundesliga) which of course means that they play week-in-week out with and against top players. The former player also spoke of a stronger and fitter Austria side than what we’ve seen in the past and that’s obviously a huge plus point.
Below you can read on and find out how Jamie of www.sportsbettingpays.uk will be playing the above games to try and max the profit, and it goes without saying that we also have some value priced selections from big horse race guru Nick Hardman:-
Euro 2016 Football
Sat 11th June
England v Russia – England to win to nil (Gen 2.80)
Mon 13th June
Republic of Ireland v Sweden – Back the Draw (Gen 3.10)
Tues 14th June
Austria v Hungary – Austria to Win (Gen 1.75)
Now over to Nick’s weekend fancies:-
Big Race Selections (Sat 11th June)
We have backed Mr Lupton a few times in the past and I think he can give us a run for our money again in this 6f handicap with Jamie Spencer on board. Has to give weight away all round but juvenile form is top drawer. Lathom won the Weatherby’s Super Sprint last year and ran well on debut for David O’Meara in the Epsom Dash. Can come on for that on not without hope here.
Mr Lupton @16/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 5 places, B365)
Lathom @25/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 5 places, B365)
Chiswick Bey tries a longer trip but there is hope that it is within his compass after posting a decent effort over half a furlong shorter on his penultimate start. Two visits to York have seen two placed efforts and has won under Natalie Hambling before who claims a useful 7lbs. Correggio won this last year and was beaten under two lengths in this in 2014 and worth taking a chance on even though he appears out of sorts.
Carreggio @25/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places, generally)
Chiswick Bey @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places, generally)
All that remains is to wish you a great weekend from the Betting Insiders team!
Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve