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Two Saturday doubles
We have free footy tips courtesy of James Pacheco for the weekend.
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First up, I’m going to go with two PL outsiders to avoid defeat. The first is Burnley who are actually a pretty solid price to win at 3.35 and I wouldn’t put anyone off backing them to do that. But I’m a little worried about just how few shots on target they have a game- an average of just 2 a match so far- that’s the only thing that puts me off backing them outright. On the plus side they’re in much better form than Palace and will be on a high after that remarkable 0-0 at Old Trafford last week so expect them to at least take a point.
And I think it’s a similar story with Stoke at West Ham. The Hammers clearly don’t like their new home and are out of form themselves. I’m not entirely sure what happened with Stoke at the start of the season but they’re now looking like the consistent side who is going to be in this division for the long haul. They already look a far better side with Joe Allen playing in the number 10 position and now that he’s got the monkey off his back, I think Wilfried Bony could kick on from here and provide Stoke with the goals they were craving up to a few weeks ago. A 1-1 draw sounds about right to me in terms of how this could end and that would do us just fine.
The second theme is for two teams to win two slightly different corners battles. How’s this for a stat: Napoli have had more corners than their opponents in 10 of their 11 Serie games so far, including all five at home. That’s unlikely to change when Lazio come to town and even though the latter have a decent record at corners themselves, it’s not in Napoli’s league.
Those who have been following this service for a while should know about another team who has an 100% record at getting more corners than their opponents at home so far. Yes, it’s Bournemouth. The bookies are obviously aware of this and are making them just 1.14 against Sunderland to get more corners and even though it’s a double, I’m not going to put that sort of price up as a selection. Instead, I’m going to push the boat out a bit and back them to defy a -3.5 corner handicap, meaning the Cherries have to get four or more corners than Sunderland for our bet to win. This could well be touch and go but Sunderland’s corners record is poor, having lost all their corners battle away from home so far this season. If the game goes the way I expect it to, with Bournemouth having the majority of the ball and getting the ball out wide as much as possible, we could well be in business.
1pt Back Burnley on the Double Chance market ( 1.62) http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/burnley-v-crystal-palace/double-chance + Stoke on the Double Chance market (1.91) http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/west-ham-v-stoke/double-chance @ 3.09 with Bet365
1pt Back Napoli to get most corners in the corner match bet (http://www.bet365.com/home/FlashGen4/WebConsoleApp.asp?rn=84126798091&stf=1 (1.5) + Bournemouth -3.5 on Asian Handicap corners market (1.75) http://www.bet365.com/home/FlashGen4/WebConsoleApp.asp?rn=84126798091&stf=1 @ 2.62 with Bet365
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