The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 17th Sept’16)
Last time around the Insiders Club “Big Race Guru” Nick Hardman took on the ultra competitive Portland Handicap on the final day of the Doncaster St Leger Festival and his three big priced EW fancies fared pretty well!
Humidor (2nd 20/1) looked like winning when hitting the front but edged to his right and couldn´t hold on from the strong finishing winner Captain Colby, whilst close up in third place was one of Nick’s other fancies Harry Hurricane (adv EW 14/1). Placing 1/2pt EW on each brought a return of +75% profits on the 3pts staked so a decent return without nabbing the winner.
In these big field very open looking contests Nick will often go with more than one against the field especially if his selections can be backed at double figure odds as seen above, even grabbing a place can cover stakes and some which helps keep the bank ticking over nicely between the winners!
For the coming weekend the Insiders Club “Big Race coverage” will feature the quality card at Ayr which includes the Gold & Silver Cups supported by the Firth of Clyde Group 3 and all the other races are Class 3 or better. These are food and drink with Nicks methods and a little later we will be sharing a sample of his approach and resultant selections.
In the meantime we have Jamie Pacheco’s (http://sportsbettingpays.uk) thoughts on one of the weekend’s Premier League football matches:-
Mike Dean’s penalty obsession
At the start of the season there was a directive from the Referees’ Association concerning defenders grabbing opponents’ shirts in the box. It went something like this: ‘’If a defender is playing the man rather than the ball, has eyes for the player rather than the ball and stops the attacking player from getting to the ball or trying to get to the ball…give a penalty.’’
Now the easy thing to do is pretty much ignore that and if there’s a dodgy incident of that nature, just say you didn’t see it. But Mike Dean is a man who marches to the beat of a different drum.
He’s decided that if there’s any nonsense in the box, he’s giving a foul against the attacker (just like he was told to) if he’s the perpetrator… or a penalty if the defender is the guilty party. And that doesn’t just apply to incidents at corners. So far this season Mike Dean has awarded four penalties – one for Leicester against Hull, one for each side when Stoke played Man City (incidentally both were holding in the box at a corner) and one for Palace at home to Bournemouth. Coincidence? Four penalties in three matches?
The nice thing about this bet is that even though my theory on penalties given for grabbing/wrestling/shoving at corners doesn’t prove true, there’s still a chance a penalty could be awarded for a more traditional offence- blatant handball in the box, keeper takes the striker out, winger tripped up as he runs into the box etc. This weekend Mike Dean is in charge of Tottenham v Sunderland and if you shop around there is quite a range of prices available on him awarding a penalty during the match!
In our opinion it is this kind of “thinking outside of the box” 🙂 that allows Jamie to find value sports bets that may still be under the radar of most of us. You can find out more about his service along with a discount offer here – http://www.sportsbettingpays.uk/last-chance/
Click here to read on and find a gem or two from Nick Hardman’s weekend Big Race Selections:-
Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 17rd Sept
Orion’s Bow ticks plenty of boxes from a trends perspective and had been in terrific form up until a slightly below par effort at Ripon last time out. A danger to all if bouncing back. Poyle Vinnie was second in this last year off 4lbs higher and looks set for a big run.
I am also taking a chance on Absolutely So off top weight for Andrew Balding who won this with Highland Colori in 2013. Arrives on the back of an excellent run in the Wokingham.
Orion’s Bow @12/1 1/2pt e/w (1/4 odds, 5 places)
Poyle Vinnie @20/1 1/2pt e/w (1/4 odds, 5 places)
Absolutely So @16/1 1/2pt e/w (1/4 odds, 5 places)
Cesarewitch trial and I tend to go with the dual purpose horses over this sort of trip and Oceane has plenty in his favour. The Cashel Man has form that ties in with the main selection and could get closer with a 4lb pull but at a better price I will go with Planetoid each way. He looks to have plenty of stamina and is another with form over hurdles.
Oceane 1pt Win @4/1 generally
Plantoid @16/1 1/2pt e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
All that remains is to wish you a great weekend from the Betting Insiders team!
Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve