Bumper Festival Profits?

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 29th July’17)

We have a proverbial feast of top class horse racing taking place over the next seven days starting on Saturday with the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot for which the dual Oaks winner Enable is the hot favourite as she takes on the older generation for the first time. Sure to be a popular winner with a rejuvenated Frankie Dettori on board but the opposition will ensure it is no penalty kick with last year’s winner Highland Reel and three other previous Group 1 winners to content with.

Sunday provides a brief respite and the last chance to put the final touches to the form book study with the Galway Festival getting underway on Monday and then Glorious Goodwood the day after.

Of course if cramming all the hours needed to get a handle on the main contenders is a step too far then you can always follow the lead of the Betting Insiders Club members by turning to Big Race Guru Nick Hardman who will be providing selections for each day of the Festival on the Sussex Downs. If last year is anything to go by with winners like Fire Fighting (adv 10/1 EW), You’re Hired (adv 10/1 EW), Bear Valley (adv 9/1), Take Cover (adv 14/1 EW) and Hawatif (adv 12/1 EW) we are in for a cracker.

You can find out more about Nick’s Big Race Method in this interesting video.

If your current punting activities are not delivering the kind of profit that you would hope for then why not make a positive change and check out the comprehensive package, which include Nick Hardman’s Big Race selections, available from the Betting Insiders Club.

Just before we move on to Saturdays free racing tips we have a snippet that was published in the current Betting Insiders Members Report (Issue 147). Alan Dudman (https://betting.betfair.com/) provided the readers with a detailed review of the Glorious Goodwood Festival and in it he shared an interesting angle for the Lennox Stakes which is the third race on the opening day:-

Lennox Stakes 7f – Tuesday 15:00 1st August

With Godolphin re-emerging as a racing power and a force at Royal Ascot (it’s taken some time for the renaissance let’s be honest), Sheikh Mohammed’s team have the chance to have a decent meeting at Goodwood and have plenty of strength in depth in the major races.

Starting with the Lennox Stakes on Tuesday, Godolphin hasn’t fared too badly in this in recent seasons; with a one-two in 2017 with Dutch Connection and Home Of The Brave. 2016 went the way of Toormore (who ran in the blue), whilst 2015 was another profitable one for the outfit with a one-three.

Dutch Connection was second in that renewal and Godolphin ended up buying him too. He rates as a 5/1 chance at the time of writing; with the race priced up with Paddy Power and Betfair, but I’ve never really rated him (Dutch Connection) as top class.

To use John Gosden parlance; it is the last time to roll the ‘7f dice’ with Dream Castle. He runs like a sprinter, but he’s never raced at a sprint trip. His trainer Saeed bin Suroor is still resisting the drop down in distance and there’s a chance that Goodwood could be his track. The 2009 winner Finjaan was a very speedy horse, and in many ways Dream Castle reminds me of him. Quick.

His latest run in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot was another frustrating effort. They split into two groups and again he raced without any cover. He’s a bit too keen for his own good, and that really needs to start sorting itself out. This horse could be a bit better than this Group 2 level, after all; he was second in Barney Roy’s Greenham, and I thought he was a little unlucky (although he wouldn’t have won) in Churchill’s Guineas.

As a three-year-old he’ll get a bit of weight from his elders, and hopefully Godolphin can get the tactics right. Bear in mind this horse touched 1.04 in-running at Newbury when he was picked off by Barney Roy.

This means you should look to chuck in a low lay as some insurance. He’ll have a chance at a quick track and with an official rating of 113 from Ascot he could still be top drawer. It may be as a sprinter, but this looks a perfect race for him.

Recommended Bets:
Back Dream Castle ante-post 9/1 generally and use the “Keep Bets” option on Betfair to lay him in-running (maybe 2.02) to hopefully cover the stakes should he make a bold bid for glory.

Click here to read on and find out what Nick fancies from Saturdays Big Races.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 29th July’17
Ascot 3.00pm
A good trends race and those that tick most boxes are Fastnet Tempest, Remarkable and Makzeem. The latter is 7lb well in and if the handicapper has got that right then it would be no surprise goes very close. Stall 1 could be a stumbling block so with that in mind Yuften would be my each way choice given his form at Ascot and he would be dangerous to dismiss.
Yuften @18/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 5 places, B365)
Fastnet Tempest @7/1
Remarkable @11/1
Makzeem @8/1

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve

Hot off the Press Insiders Report

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 8th July’17)
Last time around we shared a sample of our Big Race Guru, Nick Hardman’s, selections for the Northumberland plate up at Newcastle and Flymetothestars fared best of the duo. The Sir Mark Prescott trained 4yo was heavily backed to follow up his lto win from 9lb higher and almost pullet it off. He reached a close third after attempting to come between rivals over 2f out and most likely had used up plenty of nervous energy in racing too freely down the back straight.

It didn’t take Nick’s followers long to find ample compensation though as a bumper Sunday provided profits in excess of 40pts on the back of wins for Tithonus (adv e/w 25/1) & Tempestatefloresco (adv win 12/1).

You can find out more about Nick’s Big Race methods via this interesting video.

A little later on we will dip into Nick’s weekend coverage with a sample of free selections, but just before we move on we have a quick update on the Betting Insiders latest news.

Betting Insiders News
Hot off the press the brand new Insiders Report (Issue 147) is winging its way to our members and the 52 page edition comes in a handy (and very collectable with a smart binder) A5 format.

This time around we have extensive coverage of the 5 day festival at Glorious Goodwood with a cracking combi of Mr Hardman’s key stats and trends along with Alan Dudman’s (betting.betfair) review and long range value bets.

The other key horse racing article is an “out of the box” piece on a specific bunch of jockeys that have performed well over a particular Course & Distance.

There is also a thought provoking piece from Gary B who has been an avid follower of Nick’s Big Race coverage for 2 years and he believes he has uncovered a couple of angles that can boost the profits even further as well as his take of a certain Hugh Taylor’s tips.

The horse racing coverage is the cornerstone of the report but there is also plenty of other interesting content on football punting, arbitrage and the latest news from our diligent team of commercially sold products and services.

We firmly believe that this report will arm the readers with numerous new insights and fresh angles that can be a positive aid in their on-going battle with the bookies and those sharp minds on the exchanges.

Betting Insider Club members get access to this level of content every month and along with a friendly community/forum and of course Nick Hardman’s profitable big race tips the package really does provide them with the tools to make their betting pay! If you’re not getting the level of return from your current punting then make a positive change and check out the Betting Insiders Club here.

Click here to read on and find out what has caught the eye of Nick Hardman for the coming weekend.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 8th July’17
Haydock 3.15pm
Quite a good trends race and we have just three qualifiers.
Toulson @16/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Big Country @7/1
Euchen Glen @25/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve

Free Northumberland Plate tips!

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 1st July’17)

Last time around we shared our Big Race Guru, Nick Hardman’s, key trends and final selections for the Wokingham Stakes from Royal Ascot. As competitive as ever, there was a pretty even split into two groups and it was those far side who held the advantage, with the winner, Out Do, coming from stall one. Nick made a solid case for Projection and the horse was well backed and ‘won’ the race stands’ side but had to settle for third place. Of the other two picks that ran it was Danzeno (adv EW 22/1, 5 places) that saved the day in grabbing 5th place and the place returns covered the overall stakes on the race.

You can find out more about Nick’s Big Race methods via this interesting video.

A little later on we will have some free tips from Nick’s weekend coverage, but just before we move on to those we have a quick update on the Betting Insiders latest news:-

Betting Insiders News

As part of the comprehensive Club package members receive a monthly 52 page report which is crammed with new ideas and strategies devised by a team of industry renowned contributors. Of course the main coverage focuses on horse racing but to complement that we also cover football and other popular punting sports such as tennis.

In the current report (Issue 146) Gary Boswell shared his thoughts on the best value bets for the Wimbledon Ladies Grand Slam for which the qualifying rounds are underway. The following is what he had to say about the current 5/1 favourite for the outright winner. Bear in mind that the original article was in the hands of the members close to three weeks ago…..

“Which leaves me with my fifth and final selection for the ante-post portfolio in 2017.

Twice champion Petra Kvitova at a really rather remarkable 16/1 as I write. Take anything over 10/1 you get offered. She hasn’t played yet in 2017 and does have question marks after her recent disturbances. Is on the list at Roland Garros however which I expect her to use as her preparation for the 2017 grass court season.

She is another hardcore grass court specialist. Perfect physique and big lefty serve so that many games in her two winning Wimbledon campaigns were fairly uncompetitive. Potentially unplayable at her best on grass. Faced Serena here twice in 2010 and 2012 and lost both but I might back her if she faced her now. Won the in between year in 2011 as a betting outsider and won as favourite in 2014.

Her game on grass has matured. Just her motivation that you could now question but at 16/1, nothing if not value and in my book, the favourite in a Serenaless year.”

Betting Insider Club members get access to this level of content every month and along with a friendly community/forum and of course Nick Hardman’s profitable big race tips the package really does arm them with the tools to make their betting pay! If your not getting the level of return from your current punting then make a positive change and check out the Betting Insiders Club here.

Click here to read on and find out what has caught the eye of Nick Hardman for the coming weekend.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 1st July’17
Newcastle 3.30pm
Even though this race has switched from turf to the AW there are plenty of strong trends and the top two in the market tick all the boxes.
Flymetothestars @5/1
Seamour @6/1

Together We Can Win

Darren & Steve

Brand new Insiders Report+Free tips

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 10th June’17)
The free tips given out last time around were not able to add to the 2017 tally with Nick’s Epsom Dash picks running solid races to finish within a couple of lengths of the winner in 7th & 8th place…..onwards and upwards with some decent racing to look forward to over the coming weekend.

If you would like to find out more about Nick Hardman’s Big Race method then take a look at this interesting video which shows how he goes about things.

A little later on we will have a few of Nick’s gems from Saturdays cards but just before we move on to that we have a quick update on the Betting Insiders Club including the hot off the press latest Members Report.

Betting Insiders news
May was a challenging one for the Club Portfolio Big Race selections but overall the latest month ended with a positive result. There were 31 winners or placers (where advised EW) from the 137 picks giving a 22.63% Strike Rate and +43.40 points profit to advised stakes (+15.90% ROI).

The +43.40pts helped build further on the excellent gains made during April (+127) and the 2017 total is moving in the right direction with +175pts in total after a sticky first quarter. Nick’s track record with his Big Race selections has now passed the 30 months mark and quite remarkably 25 of them proved to be profitable which is no mean feat given the nature of the races he takes on!

The brand new Members Report (Issue 146) is winging its way to the members right now and with the highlight of June being the 5 days of top class action from Royal Ascot we have many bases covered on this prestigious festival. First up Nick has all the key trends and traits in his regular Big Race feature whilst Alan Dudman (betting.betfair.com) highlights a number of his fancies from each day of the meeting and Josh (www.racingtoprofit.co.uk) provides the heads up on the Trainer Trends to keep a close eye on. Alongside these in the horse racing section we have a welcome guest appearance by Raceform published author Jon Gibby who details his approach to speed ratings and Tony continues his Through the Card series.

The other popular punting sports are also well catered for with Gary’s review of the Wimbledon Ladies tennis Grand Slam and there are a trio of articles from our knowledgeable football pundits which includes Liam’s take on the summer competitions.

To wrap things up this time around we have more risk free techniques from our Arbitrage guru and the latest news and results from our test team Rod and Keith who have been checking out whether the bold profit claims made from service vendors stacks up in real time live trials.

We firmly believe that this report provides an interesting read and will arm the readers with plenty of useful pointers on their continued journey of profitable punting. You can find out more including how to get your hands on a copy here.

To find out what has caught the eye of Big Race Guru Nick Hardman from Saturday’s cards click here to read on.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 10th June’17
Newmarket 3.40pm
Gabrial’s King fluffed the start last time out and lost all chance yet still finished a staying on 3rd behind likely favourite Jaameh. He would have been a lot closer if he had broken away on terms and he still looks in form. Blue Rambler is a thorough stayer and is very lightly raced. All his juvenile form in France was with some cut in the ground but has won over hurdles on good ground and was a good 6th in the Cesarewitch last year and was leading a couple of furlongs out before tiring so this trip could be ideal.
Gabrial’s King @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Blue Rambler @22/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve

And the winner of the Epsom Dash is?

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 3rd June’17)
The mini losing run was thankfully brought to an end last weekend with Nick Hardman’s free Big Race tips doing the business up at York in the Class 2 Unibet Sprint Stakes. Here is a quick reminder of Nick’s assessment prior to the race:-

York 3.50pm
Copper Knight did the business for us at Chester and showed blistering speed that day. I am hoping he does not turn out to be just a Chester specialist and is worth backing in this. Soie D’Leau has good form in these types of races and is not out of this while Caspian Prince would be a danger to all if back to anywhere near his best.

Copper Knight
@12/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Soie D’Leau @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Caspian Prince @22/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places

The Tim Easterby trained 3yo, Copper Knight, was heavily punted into 5/1 favourite and after being smartly away on the far side of the track he never saw another rival and made all to win comfortably. The other two tips also ran decent races and finished 5th and 9th respectively.

For the coming weekend all eyes will be focussed on the Investec Derby on the Epsom downs but the race preceding the Classic on Saturday is typical of the kind of conundrum that Nick enjoys tackling and in his recent Big Race trends article for the Betting Insiders Club Members Report he had this to say:-

Epsom Dash (Heritage Handicap; 5f, 15.45pm)
Possibly the most frantic race in the flat calendar, the Epsom Dash is a real speedsters race, being run pretty much downhill all the way from the gates to the winning line. This is run at breakneck speed (it is a downhill sprint track after all) and is just the type of race to throw up some meaty priced winners in the process.

It is also a handicap and attracts a big field which means if you find the winner you should be rewarded nicely. There is a maximum field of 20 runners so there may be 4 or 5 places on offer come race day.

Since 1997, 13 of the 20 winners came from a double figure stall. With 3 others exiting from stalls 8 or 9 it may pay to side with stall 8 or higher for the main selections.

It is possible to win from a lower stall and that is factored into the prices, which should be value at least. Given that I back multiple horses in a race of this nature, we can easily cover both high and low drawn horses if they have an overall positive profile.

Looking at the prices of previous winners, the aforementioned Desert Law and Stone Of Folca went in at big odds, as did Bertoliver (33/1 in 2010). Eleven of the last 15 have been priced 9/1 or higher which is a reflection of the overall competitive nature of the race. There is no harm in taking a flyer on a big priced runner if you fancy it. Luck in running will also play a big part.

With Dandy Nicholls now retired Dean Ivory and Paul Midgeley are two other trainers who specialize in sprint races and they have been responsible for the last two winners. Stuart Williams has won this race twice with Bertoliver (2010) and Hogmaneigh (2007). Anything this trio runs this year, especially the stable first string, is a worth a second look.

Last time out winners are 0-36 which suggests horses carrying penalties or those who have had a hike in the weights tend to struggle. However, a good recent run is a positive in so much that 14 of the last 20 finished 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th on their previous start.

There have been 4 winning favourites since 1997 and in total 10 of the last 20 came from the front three in the betting. However, with winners at 33/1 and 50/1 in recent times there is no harm in taking one from the top of the market and one or two outsiders for good measure.

All bar one of the last 20 had won over the distance and 14 of the last 20 had actually won over further as well. Those horses with three runs under their belt in the current season are 7-68 (10% strike rate) and those with 4 runs are 5-46 (11%).

Those strike rates are much higher than the strike rates for horses with 2 runs (3%) and 1 run (1%) and I think that is a good statistic. The best strike rate actually comes from those racing in this on their seasonal debut 3-25 (12%).

Between 1997 and 2001, all of the winners carried 9st 1lb or more. Since then, 10 of the last 15 winners have carried 9st 0lb or less. Of those ten winners, 9 carried between 8st 5lbs and 9st 0lbs.

All that leaves us with a mixed bag on the trends front, but the strongest statistics are listed below:

• Finished 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th LTO
• Aged 4yo to 6yo
• Top 3 in the betting
• Won over 5f and further
• 3 to 4 runs in the current season
• Carrying 9st 0lbs or less

Nick will be using the above data as an aid to narrow down the Epsom Dash field and to find out which ones will be carrying his hard earned click here to read on.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 3rd June’17
Epsom 3.45pm
One from the Insiders Report and the Desert Law makes plenty of appeal near the top of the market. El Astronaute is very quick and is also a previous course winner and this race should suit.
El Astronaute @10/1 Gen
Desert Law @9/1 Gen

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve