The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 29th July’17)
We have a proverbial feast of top class horse racing taking place over the next seven days starting on Saturday with the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot for which the dual Oaks winner Enable is the hot favourite as she takes on the older generation for the first time. Sure to be a popular winner with a rejuvenated Frankie Dettori on board but the opposition will ensure it is no penalty kick with last year’s winner Highland Reel and three other previous Group 1 winners to content with.
Sunday provides a brief respite and the last chance to put the final touches to the form book study with the Galway Festival getting underway on Monday and then Glorious Goodwood the day after.
Of course if cramming all the hours needed to get a handle on the main contenders is a step too far then you can always follow the lead of the Betting Insiders Club members by turning to Big Race Guru Nick Hardman who will be providing selections for each day of the Festival on the Sussex Downs. If last year is anything to go by with winners like Fire Fighting (adv 10/1 EW), You’re Hired (adv 10/1 EW), Bear Valley (adv 9/1), Take Cover (adv 14/1 EW) and Hawatif (adv 12/1 EW) we are in for a cracker.
If your current punting activities are not delivering the kind of profit that you would hope for then why not make a positive change and check out the comprehensive package, which include Nick Hardman’s Big Race selections, available from the Betting Insiders Club.
Just before we move on to Saturdays free racing tips we have a snippet that was published in the current Betting Insiders Members Report (Issue 147). Alan Dudman (https://betting.betfair.com/) provided the readers with a detailed review of the Glorious Goodwood Festival and in it he shared an interesting angle for the Lennox Stakes which is the third race on the opening day:-
Lennox Stakes 7f – Tuesday 15:00 1st August
With Godolphin re-emerging as a racing power and a force at Royal Ascot (it’s taken some time for the renaissance let’s be honest), Sheikh Mohammed’s team have the chance to have a decent meeting at Goodwood and have plenty of strength in depth in the major races.
Starting with the Lennox Stakes on Tuesday, Godolphin hasn’t fared too badly in this in recent seasons; with a one-two in 2017 with Dutch Connection and Home Of The Brave. 2016 went the way of Toormore (who ran in the blue), whilst 2015 was another profitable one for the outfit with a one-three.
Dutch Connection was second in that renewal and Godolphin ended up buying him too. He rates as a 5/1 chance at the time of writing; with the race priced up with Paddy Power and Betfair, but I’ve never really rated him (Dutch Connection) as top class.
To use John Gosden parlance; it is the last time to roll the ‘7f dice’ with Dream Castle. He runs like a sprinter, but he’s never raced at a sprint trip. His trainer Saeed bin Suroor is still resisting the drop down in distance and there’s a chance that Goodwood could be his track. The 2009 winner Finjaan was a very speedy horse, and in many ways Dream Castle reminds me of him. Quick.
His latest run in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot was another frustrating effort. They split into two groups and again he raced without any cover. He’s a bit too keen for his own good, and that really needs to start sorting itself out. This horse could be a bit better than this Group 2 level, after all; he was second in Barney Roy’s Greenham, and I thought he was a little unlucky (although he wouldn’t have won) in Churchill’s Guineas.
As a three-year-old he’ll get a bit of weight from his elders, and hopefully Godolphin can get the tactics right. Bear in mind this horse touched 1.04 in-running at Newbury when he was picked off by Barney Roy.
This means you should look to chuck in a low lay as some insurance. He’ll have a chance at a quick track and with an official rating of 113 from Ascot he could still be top drawer. It may be as a sprinter, but this looks a perfect race for him.
Back Dream Castle ante-post 9/1 generally and use the “Keep Bets” option on Betfair to lay him in-running (maybe 2.02) to hopefully cover the stakes should he make a bold bid for glory.
Click here to read on and find out what Nick fancies from Saturdays Big Races.
Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 29th July’17
A good trends race and those that tick most boxes are Fastnet Tempest, Remarkable and Makzeem. The latter is 7lb well in and if the handicapper has got that right then it would be no surprise goes very close. Stall 1 could be a stumbling block so with that in mind Yuften would be my each way choice given his form at Ascot and he would be dangerous to dismiss.
Yuften @18/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 5 places, B365)
Fastnet Tempest @7/1
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Darren & Steve