Free Royal Ascot Micro System & Big Race tips

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 17th June’17)
Royal Ascot is looming large on the horizon and gets underway next Tuesday and therefore we would suggest that if you haven’t already sorted out your own winning methods it could pay to invest a little time in watching this interesting video.

The method described shows how Big Race guru, Dr Nick Hardman, tackles the type of races that will be taking place over the 5 days of the prestigious Royal Ascot festival.

Members of the Betting Insiders Club will have full access to all of Nick’s selections and will no doubt be hoping that things pan out as well as they did in 2016 when they ended up by just shy of a 100pt profit to advised stakes/prices.

The winners flowed each day and included Ardad (adv 20/1 e/w), Prince Of Lir (adv 11/1 e/w), Primitivo (adv 8/1), Across The Stars (adv 12/1 e/w), Sir Isaac Newton (adv 16/1 e/w) and Dartmouth (adv 10/1).

Nick’s Big Race selections form part of the comprehensive package available to members of the Betting Insiders Club so if your current punting methods are not delivering the level of profit that you would hope for then now could be the perfect time to make a positive step. You can find out more here.

To whet the appetite for the coming week tomorrow’s racing action includes some decent cards from Musselburgh, York and Sandown and a little later on we will be sharing a few snippets that have caught the eye of Big Race Guru Nick Hardman from Saturday’s cards. But just before we move on to those we have a cracking little micro method that was recently published in the Betting Insiders members report (Issue 146).

Note: Within this angle those that ran over 1m4f or further LTO are 8/14, 10 places… +53 BFSP. It should also be noted that all of Sir Michael’s runners in the period sent off bigger than 12/1 SP are 0/13, 0 places. Some prominence in the market appears to be significant.

The above was just a random sample taken from a comprehensive review of the trainer trends for the Royal festival and you can get your hands on the complete piece and a whole lot more here.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 17th June’17
Musselburgh 2.05pm
Consolation race and plenty lining up that have run in this before.
Last year’s winner Meadway makes each way appeal off 1lb lower. A low draw is often favoured in the sprints at Mussleburgh the first four home in this last year came from stalls 4, 15, 2 and 1. Olivia Fallow was runner up in this last year and was coming to the boil before a par effort in the Dash. She also can go well at a course where she has been runner up in three of four visits.
Olivia Fallow @16/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 3 places)
Meadway @16/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 3 places)

York 2.20pm
Three against the field in a competitive event. Ghurka Friend will most likely try and make all and from stall 1 should make a bold bid. Top weight Salateen could try and do the same but is draw in 15 so he would have to burn up some early energy to take this up. That said he is in fine form. Gallipoli can also go well with Hanagan back in the plate.
Ghurka Friend @14/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Salateen @12/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Gallipoli @16/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve

Brand new Insiders Report+Free tips

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 10th June’17)
The free tips given out last time around were not able to add to the 2017 tally with Nick’s Epsom Dash picks running solid races to finish within a couple of lengths of the winner in 7th & 8th place…..onwards and upwards with some decent racing to look forward to over the coming weekend.

If you would like to find out more about Nick Hardman’s Big Race method then take a look at this interesting video which shows how he goes about things.

A little later on we will have a few of Nick’s gems from Saturdays cards but just before we move on to that we have a quick update on the Betting Insiders Club including the hot off the press latest Members Report.

Betting Insiders news
May was a challenging one for the Club Portfolio Big Race selections but overall the latest month ended with a positive result. There were 31 winners or placers (where advised EW) from the 137 picks giving a 22.63% Strike Rate and +43.40 points profit to advised stakes (+15.90% ROI).

The +43.40pts helped build further on the excellent gains made during April (+127) and the 2017 total is moving in the right direction with +175pts in total after a sticky first quarter. Nick’s track record with his Big Race selections has now passed the 30 months mark and quite remarkably 25 of them proved to be profitable which is no mean feat given the nature of the races he takes on!

The brand new Members Report (Issue 146) is winging its way to the members right now and with the highlight of June being the 5 days of top class action from Royal Ascot we have many bases covered on this prestigious festival. First up Nick has all the key trends and traits in his regular Big Race feature whilst Alan Dudman (betting.betfair.com) highlights a number of his fancies from each day of the meeting and Josh (www.racingtoprofit.co.uk) provides the heads up on the Trainer Trends to keep a close eye on. Alongside these in the horse racing section we have a welcome guest appearance by Raceform published author Jon Gibby who details his approach to speed ratings and Tony continues his Through the Card series.

The other popular punting sports are also well catered for with Gary’s review of the Wimbledon Ladies tennis Grand Slam and there are a trio of articles from our knowledgeable football pundits which includes Liam’s take on the summer competitions.

To wrap things up this time around we have more risk free techniques from our Arbitrage guru and the latest news and results from our test team Rod and Keith who have been checking out whether the bold profit claims made from service vendors stacks up in real time live trials.

We firmly believe that this report provides an interesting read and will arm the readers with plenty of useful pointers on their continued journey of profitable punting. You can find out more including how to get your hands on a copy here.

To find out what has caught the eye of Big Race Guru Nick Hardman from Saturday’s cards click here to read on.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 10th June’17
Newmarket 3.40pm
Gabrial’s King fluffed the start last time out and lost all chance yet still finished a staying on 3rd behind likely favourite Jaameh. He would have been a lot closer if he had broken away on terms and he still looks in form. Blue Rambler is a thorough stayer and is very lightly raced. All his juvenile form in France was with some cut in the ground but has won over hurdles on good ground and was a good 6th in the Cesarewitch last year and was leading a couple of furlongs out before tiring so this trip could be ideal.
Gabrial’s King @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Blue Rambler @22/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve

And the winner of the Epsom Dash is?

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 3rd June’17)
The mini losing run was thankfully brought to an end last weekend with Nick Hardman’s free Big Race tips doing the business up at York in the Class 2 Unibet Sprint Stakes. Here is a quick reminder of Nick’s assessment prior to the race:-

York 3.50pm
Copper Knight did the business for us at Chester and showed blistering speed that day. I am hoping he does not turn out to be just a Chester specialist and is worth backing in this. Soie D’Leau has good form in these types of races and is not out of this while Caspian Prince would be a danger to all if back to anywhere near his best.

Copper Knight
@12/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Soie D’Leau @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Caspian Prince @22/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places

The Tim Easterby trained 3yo, Copper Knight, was heavily punted into 5/1 favourite and after being smartly away on the far side of the track he never saw another rival and made all to win comfortably. The other two tips also ran decent races and finished 5th and 9th respectively.

For the coming weekend all eyes will be focussed on the Investec Derby on the Epsom downs but the race preceding the Classic on Saturday is typical of the kind of conundrum that Nick enjoys tackling and in his recent Big Race trends article for the Betting Insiders Club Members Report he had this to say:-

Epsom Dash (Heritage Handicap; 5f, 15.45pm)
Possibly the most frantic race in the flat calendar, the Epsom Dash is a real speedsters race, being run pretty much downhill all the way from the gates to the winning line. This is run at breakneck speed (it is a downhill sprint track after all) and is just the type of race to throw up some meaty priced winners in the process.

It is also a handicap and attracts a big field which means if you find the winner you should be rewarded nicely. There is a maximum field of 20 runners so there may be 4 or 5 places on offer come race day.

Since 1997, 13 of the 20 winners came from a double figure stall. With 3 others exiting from stalls 8 or 9 it may pay to side with stall 8 or higher for the main selections.

It is possible to win from a lower stall and that is factored into the prices, which should be value at least. Given that I back multiple horses in a race of this nature, we can easily cover both high and low drawn horses if they have an overall positive profile.

Looking at the prices of previous winners, the aforementioned Desert Law and Stone Of Folca went in at big odds, as did Bertoliver (33/1 in 2010). Eleven of the last 15 have been priced 9/1 or higher which is a reflection of the overall competitive nature of the race. There is no harm in taking a flyer on a big priced runner if you fancy it. Luck in running will also play a big part.

With Dandy Nicholls now retired Dean Ivory and Paul Midgeley are two other trainers who specialize in sprint races and they have been responsible for the last two winners. Stuart Williams has won this race twice with Bertoliver (2010) and Hogmaneigh (2007). Anything this trio runs this year, especially the stable first string, is a worth a second look.

Last time out winners are 0-36 which suggests horses carrying penalties or those who have had a hike in the weights tend to struggle. However, a good recent run is a positive in so much that 14 of the last 20 finished 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th on their previous start.

There have been 4 winning favourites since 1997 and in total 10 of the last 20 came from the front three in the betting. However, with winners at 33/1 and 50/1 in recent times there is no harm in taking one from the top of the market and one or two outsiders for good measure.

All bar one of the last 20 had won over the distance and 14 of the last 20 had actually won over further as well. Those horses with three runs under their belt in the current season are 7-68 (10% strike rate) and those with 4 runs are 5-46 (11%).

Those strike rates are much higher than the strike rates for horses with 2 runs (3%) and 1 run (1%) and I think that is a good statistic. The best strike rate actually comes from those racing in this on their seasonal debut 3-25 (12%).

Between 1997 and 2001, all of the winners carried 9st 1lb or more. Since then, 10 of the last 15 winners have carried 9st 0lb or less. Of those ten winners, 9 carried between 8st 5lbs and 9st 0lbs.

All that leaves us with a mixed bag on the trends front, but the strongest statistics are listed below:

• Finished 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th LTO
• Aged 4yo to 6yo
• Top 3 in the betting
• Won over 5f and further
• 3 to 4 runs in the current season
• Carrying 9st 0lbs or less

Nick will be using the above data as an aid to narrow down the Epsom Dash field and to find out which ones will be carrying his hard earned click here to read on.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 3rd June’17
Epsom 3.45pm
One from the Insiders Report and the Desert Law makes plenty of appeal near the top of the market. El Astronaute is very quick and is also a previous course winner and this race should suit.
El Astronaute @10/1 Gen
Desert Law @9/1 Gen

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve

FA Cup Value Punt?

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 27th May’17)
The minor dip in form for the free big race selections continued with last week’s picks only managing a 2nd and close up 5th place in the London Gold Cup at Newbury. The free ones are a sample of our big race guru, Nick Hardman’s, weekend coverage and sod’s law dictates that we may go for the wrong race from time to time! Overall Nick’s followers are having a profitable time of it from the current campaign which has now reached just shy of +180 points profit combined with a respectable +15% ROI.

If you enjoy the satisfaction of nailing a big priced winner of the weekend’s feature races you may be interested to view this video in which Nick’s method is detailed.

On Saturday in addition to some decent horse racing action there is the small matter of the FA Cup final from Wembley and the bookies have Chelsea priced up around 2/5 to lift the trophy against Arsene Wenger’s Arsenal. Logic points out, barring a boring 0-0 and penalties, that to achieve that they will score at least once and the clear odds on favourite in the “anytime goalscorer” market is the blues Diego Costa (Generally 4/5 – 5/6).

However in the recently published Betting Insiders Members Report (Issue 145) our longstanding football pundit (and Chelsea fan) Mark Foley offers some insights into an alternative to putting your hard earned on Costa. In fact in his article he provided numerous angles to potentially profit from the goal scorer market and here is an extract that is relevant to Saturday’s big clash:-

Flat-track bullies and how to profit from them?

Love him or hate him it is undeniable that Diego Costa has scored a lot of goals in just under three seasons. Everton, Lukaku’s present team, will be glad to see the back of Costa; he has 4 goals in 4 games against The Toffees in the league (1 opening goal, 1 last goal). He must have something against Scousers; both of his goals against Liverpool (in 4 league games) have been the last goal of the game.

A similar story against Arsenal (2 in 5, where both of his goals were the final goal).
The Spaniard/Brazilian has only played 3 league games against Man U and his injury time equalizer at The Bridge last season remains his only goal against The Red Devils. He has had a tougher time against Spurs and City, (1 in 4 and 1 in 5 respectively).

So 7 league goals in 21 games against the other teams in the big 6 and 4 in 4 against Everton. Lower than his overall average, but then again that is to be expected against tougher opposition.

Alternative:
Eden Hazard offers better value than Costa in the scoring markets and has come into his own especially this season.

He has scored twice against Man City as well as finding the net against United, he has also scored a brace against Everton and possibly the goal of the season against Arsenal. More importantly, he has developed a penchant for scoring the opening goal in the big games.

His career record against the top sides is impressive – 4 in 10 against Spurs (and one for good measure in the recent FA cup semi); 3 in 9 against Man City, (all of them either the 1st or last goal); 3 in 9 against Liverpool and 3 in 10 against Arsenal. Add another two against Everton and United and he is one of the few players to have scored the opening goal at least once against all the top sides. A record of 15 goals in 47 games against the other top 6 sides is an outstanding return for a midfielder.

So instead of backing Costa at odds on to score against the Gunners Eden Hazard at 2/1 with Boyles (6/4 Paddy Power) could be the value call given the above info.

Click here to read on and grab a sample of Nick Hardman’s Big Race selections from the racing action on Saturday.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 27th May’17
York 3.50pm
Copper Knight did the business for us at Chester and showed blistering speed that day. I am hoping he does not turn out to be just a Chester specialist and is worth backing in this. Soie D’Leau has good form in these types of races and is not out of this while Caspian Prince would be a danger to all if back to anywhere near his best.

Copper Knight @12/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Soie D’Leau @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)
Caspian Prince @22/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 4 places)

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve

Free Tennis and Racing tips

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 20th May’17)
Last week’s selections couldn’t make any impact in the Victoria Cup at Ascot which was won in tidy fashion by Fastnet Tempest as high numbers came out on top for the fourth year running.

Nick Hardman’s York Dante coverage over the last few days has seen a return to normal service with winners such as Zain Arion (adv EW) at 20/1 and Here Comes When (adv EW 16/1). You can find out more about Nick’s winning approach in this interesting video.

There are some decent meetings scheduled for Saturday with Newbury hosting the Group 1 Lockinge Stakes and also Newmarket with a 7 race card although the current weather will make them tricky punting propositions with the very soft underfoot conditions.

A little later on we will be sharing a few snippets from Nicks Big Race Coverage but just before we move on to those we have a quick update on the latest news from the Betting Insiders Club.

Insiders Club news

The comprehensive Club package includes full access to Nick Hardman’s “Big Race Coverage” which has been making solid profits for just shy of 2 ½ years. Alongside these flagship tips there is a vibrant and friendly community/forum where members share their ideas and we test out new strategies in live trials. The 3rd aspect is the monthly 52 page report which contains articles written by a team of industry renowned authors such as Alan Dudman (Betting.betfair), Josh Wright (.racingtoprofit), and Andrew David (bettingdoctor).

In the brand new report (Issue 145) Gary Boswell shares his thoughts on 5 massively priced contenders for the Ladies French Tennis Open which gets underway on May 28th. Gary has a cracking track record of nailing big priced winners on the Ladies Grand Slams and the following is an extract of his comprehensive review:

Roll on the Garros
The love affair with the French women’s event started for me in 2010 when I landed the Italian Francesca Schiavone at 149/1 pre-tournament and basically launched my tipping career. And then spent the next few years wondering how on earth I’d done it and agonising over whether I’d ever be able to land such a monster again! I gradually did so by realising that surface in women’s tennis is key. You get the odd champ over the years that can win on all surfaces but even, Graf, Serena, Navratilova, Evert, Sharapova – they all still have their preferences and clay is often the one that causes the biggest headache.

And now we also have a Serenaless tournament as the remarkable genius is away bringing new life into this troubled world. She will be missed at 2017 Garros but it does of course slightly increase the % chance of landing an outsider again. They occur in women’s grand slams on a 1:5 ratio in recent years and are therefore always worth seeking.
My Number 1 fancy is currently priced at 150/1 and the next strongest is 125/1. That leaves 3, 4 and 5 who all have solid claims:-

Number three: DARIA KASATKINA
(current price 33/1)
The teenager’s success in Monterrey was the first sign that clay might be her thing. She could be that future champ on all surfaces sort, too soon to know for sure. Ranked 29 now and very much on the bookmaker’s radar as a must protect ourselves against the could anything factor but on my radar for the same sort of reasons really. Her 3rd round appearance at the 2016 Garros was her best yet but is also consistent with the upward curve.

Number four: ANASTASIA PAVLYUCHENKOVA (current price 66/1)
Professed clay court preference. Another slight Russian in and outer but in form and winning in 2017 and a quarter finalist in 2011. Ranked 16 now and one of those I’ve ummed and arred about as to whether she has what it takes. Her old young Goth was symptomatic for me that she would remain flighty but there does seem a maturity now. The vision of a slam win as a possibility has I think occurred to her.

Number five: ALISON VAN UYTVANCK (current price 500/1)
The real left fielder and the one I could be wrong about but a test of my consistency and perseverance that I stick with Alison. May have to qualify. Made QF in 2015 but has done precious little since. Had her share of injury and subsequent self-doubt but that’s how it can go. Still very young and that 2015 run did show she was a maybe on the surface. Not a typical clay courter. Tall and strong. Her development needing to come in the between the ears department no doubt. But still on my radar. And of course her price is the biggest tempter of all. She fits that bill of looking an unlikely one.

Of course horse racing remains the number one sport for the majority of our members but a balanced and profitable portfolio approach should be receptive to other punting activities and for that reason we have plenty of coverage on football and tennis.

If your current punting is not delivering the level of returns you would hope for then now could be the perfect time to make a positive change and check out the Insiders Club Package.

Click here to read on and find out what Nick fancy’s from the racing action on Saturday.

Nick Hardman’s Big Race Selections – Sat 20th May’17
Newbury 2.55pm
There are a few strong trends for this race and having gone through them we are left with Mucho Applause and Duke Of Bronte. Contrast looks like he really needs a step up in trip and is interesting with Ryan Morre booked.
Mucho Applause @4/1
Duke Of Bronte @20/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 3 places)
Contrast @14/1 e/w (1/4 odds, 3 places)

Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve