The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 6th July)
Last week’s big race tips couldn’t have worked out any better as Who Dares Wins (adv EW 14/1) prevailed in a driving finish to pip another of Nick Hardman’s selections, Dubai Fifty, by a head in the Northumberland Plate up at Newcastle!
On the back of that Big Race win Nick managed to get the winner of all 3 of the races covered on Sunday to end the month with solid gains.
If you want to be on all of Nick’s Big Race Tips try his service here – https://bigracetips.co.uk/
For the coming weekend Nick has focussed his attentions on the Coral Challenge Handicap so without further ado it’s over to Nick for those all-important Big Race trends….
Coral Challenge Handicap (Class 2, 3yo+, 1 mile) – Sat 6th – Sandown 2.25pm
This usually attracts a decent sized field and opens things up for a couple of plays at decent odds.
Nothing to go on trainer-wise but a low draw looks a good place to start. The 1 mile course requires racing around a right-hand bend and 6 of the last 8 winners were drawn 1-5 with the others drawn in 8 and 10.
In addition to this, 8 of the last 10 winners had been off the track for 21 days or longer so a break of 3 weeks or more looks to be a positive whilst 18 of the last 22 winners were aged 4yo to 6yo. Older horses have struggled but the 3yo brigade has won three renewals. The percentage call is to go with the 4yo to 6yo group.
20 of the winners since 1997 were rated 91+ and 18 came from the top 9 in the betting.
Around 14 go to post so the last stat may see us lose a few and help to begin narrowing the field.
2 to 4 runs in the current season looks ideal and all previous winners had run over a mile or further.
It is a stiff finish at Sandown so winning form over a 1m+ is also something we should factor in and 18 of the winners since 1997 competed in a Class 2 event last time out and 20/22 competed in a handicap on that last start.
21/22 had won between 0 and 4 handicap races previously, which pretty much ties in with what you would expect for the age group we are focusing on.
All that leaves us with a tidy little profile:
- Drawn 1-8
- Aged 4yo to 6yo
- Rated 91+
- Off the track for 21 days or longer
- Raced and preferably won over a mile or further
- 2 – 4 seasonal runs
- Competed in a Class 2 handicap last time out
- 0 to 4 previous handicap wins
- Top 9 in the betting
Nick will be using the above to help narrow down the runners to a select few with the “winning profile” and to find out which of the entries he settles on as his final selection(s) read on:-
Sat 6th July
One from the weekly Insiders Report and the sole qualifier that ticks all boxes is Salute the Soldier. Bombed out last time when racing free. Still low mileage and can do better if settling. Right down the foot of the weights Rum Runner is interesting on 2 previous course wins and the fact he is back on a winning mark. Stayed on over a 7f to finish third last time so return to a mile looks a good move.
Rum Runner @20/1 e/w (1/5, 4)
Salute The Soldier @14/1 e/w (1/5, 4)
Together We Can Win in 2019
Darren & Steve