Dutching Correct Score Strategy

One of my favourite, easy, football strategies is to dutch together multiple correct scores to make one bet that wins more often than not. I call this the Dutching Correct Score Strategy.

Below I have excerpted some interesting info from the Betting School private members report on correct score betting.

Dutching Correct Score Strategy

If you check out the football correct score markets on Betfair, or at the bookies, you will see that the bets available range from 0 – 0 to 3 – 3 and all scores in between with the final option being “any other score”. (In matches that are expected to be high scoring Betfair will add on more score lines)

The result of any match has to be one of those scores or the any other, so the market makes up to somewhere between 100% if very fair up to about 108%.

If you have done your research you can probably rule out some of those score lines and dutch together the remaining scores for a bet that is very likely to win.

In fact if you just blindly back the following scores and spread your stakes so you achieve the same return for any of these scores you will win most of the games that you play in.

0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 2-1, 1- 2, 1-1, 2-0

Backing all of the above will give about £40 profit for every £100 staked, assuming of course that you win.

Add a bit of research and you can narrow the list down or be more certain of the outcome. The best way to do this is to decide if the match is likely to be a high scoring game or a low scoring game and act accordingly.

As well as looking at the past performance of the teams in question also compile data on the overall trends for the league in question to guide you as to what the most likely outcome will be.

As an example in 18/19 of the 380 games played in the Premiership only 22 finished as 0 – 0 and only 49 finished with one team scoring more than three goals.

To get you started I have pasted below the percentage that each score occurred in the 18/19 Premiership season.

0-0 = 5.7%
0-1 = 6.8%
0-2 = 6 %
0-3 = 2.6%
1-0 = 7.6%
1-1 = 8.4 %
1-2 = 8.7%
1-3 = 3.6 %
2-0 = 11.6%
2-1 = 7.6 %
2-2 = 3.9%
2-3 = 1.6 %
3-0 = 3.2 %
3-1 = 6.6 %
3-2 = 2.3 %
3-3 = 0.5 %
Any Other 14.8 %

For more info on this and other profitable strategies join the Betting School Private Members Club

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