The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 26th March)
The Insiders Club team of expert contributors continue to produce profitable angles and strategies month in month out which is great news for the members who get their hands on this insightful research as part of their armoury to keep them one step ahead of those pesky bookmakers and sharp minds on the betting exchanges.
As we mentioned in last week’s newsletter our resident Big Race/Festival guru Nick Hardman produced a string of winners and placers during the recent 4 day Cheltenham Festival. As a result the 2016 profit tally is building nicely with in excess of 140pts gained at a cracking +28% ROI!
Along with extensive coverage of the big festivals Nick also provides his thoughts and selections for the better quality races that are run most weekends which is great news for Insiders Club members who have access to them as part of their comprehensive package. You can find out more about Nick’s profitable race profiling techniques in this interesting video.
For this weekend we are going to share a select list of horses that have caught the eye of David “Chutney Dave” Massey who is one half of the duo behind the phenomenally profitable www.racingconsultants.co.uk service. David is a regular trackside on the Midlands horse racing circuit and uses his extensive knowledge to spot horses that have the potential to be profitable in their future races. One of those we are about to share is down to run on Saturday and offers up an interesting opportunity to profit irrespective of where it actually finishes in the race!
Jopaan (Brian Barr)
Caught the eye for a second time when finishing sixth at Towcester (Feb 17th). Led for most of the contest and had plenty of the field in trouble when kicking clear at the bottom of the hill. Ran out of stamina late in the piece but you got the impression that similar forcing tactics could pay dividends if dropped back to 2m. Does look to need some cut though, something to bear in mind, but equally has traded much shorter in the run on both occasions and should be of interest to in-running players.
On The Couch (Sam Thomas)
One of the more likeable types in the paddock on her Rules debut (Towcester, Feb 4th) and certainly has some scope, and ran a race not without some promise here. Although well beaten in at the finish, she was staying on in pleasing fashion up the hill to finish a remote fourth, not knocked about, and gave the impression once given more of a stamina test will have something to offer. Probably needs to be handicapped before showing her hand but one to keep in mind for a 3m-plus handicap hurdle come April.
Phoeniciana (Lucy Wadham)
On her toes and green in the paddock, this leggy sort nevertheless ran a race of some promise on her debut in a Mares Bumper at Huntingdon (11th Feb). Green in the race too, she had no clue until the penny dropped in the last couple of furlongs when she started to stay on nicely and finished within hailing distance of the winner. This race looked to have well. This race had some strength in depth to it, and Phoeniciana will know more next time. Expect her to stay at least 20f when going hurdling.
Sir Runs A Lot (David Barron)
Has clearly had some issues, hence not seeing a racetrack until the age of 4 (and was unraced for Qatar Racing) but wasn’t out of place in the paddock here (Southwell, 16th Feb) and showed some promise in finishing fifth, beaten less than three lengths. Travelled well into the contest and wasn’t knocked about and could pick up a weak event before better types start coming out. Well related and should improve.
Sat 16.25pm Newton Abbot
Jopaan is down to run here and was 16/1 first thing and has already been nibbled into 10/1 in the betting although should be somewhat bigger on the Betfair Exchange as the market develops come mid to late morning. As David alluded to earlier the horse traded a lot shorter in running last time out before not coping with the hill at Towcester. In fact he also ran in the same manner the time before that and although he isn’t dropping in distance the track at Newton Abbot is a very tight left handed one and suits the handy type with front-runners hard to catch there.
With that in mind we would suggest a couple of strategies that may prove to be profitable. You can choose to try and lock in a profit with a safer angle or aim to win bigger hopefully with a free bet using the In-Play markets.
Back to Lay (DOB)
Place a 1pt back bet (Gen 16/1 or 17.0) either at the bookmaker of your choice or on the Betfair Exchange and then place a “Keep” 2pt lay at half the odds (eg 8.40) also on the exchange. If as expected the horse goes well in front the in-play odds will drop and if your laybet gets matched you are guaranteed a 1pt profit (less comms) whether Jopaan wins or not.
Target a Free Bet
Place a 1pt back bet (Gen 16/1 or 17.0) either at the bookmaker of your choice or on the Betfair Exchange and then place a “Keep” 1pt lay at half the odds (eg 8.40) also on the exchange. If as expected the horse goes well in front the in-play odds will drop and if your laybet gets matched you have covered your back stake and will then have a free bet that will pay out if Jopaan goes on to win.
All that remains is to wish you a great weekend from the Betting Insiders team!
Together We Can Win
Darren & Steve