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Heavy Ground Profits

The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 4th Jan)

First off Happy New Year to everyone and here’s to a successful 2020 campaign on the punting front!

To follow on last week’s theme, that of Heavy going, the Brand New Insiders Club Members Report has a Research Corner piece which highlights a number of potentially profitable angles when the underfoot conditions are soggy.

Issue 217 also hones in on a trio of National Hunt trainers that will hopefully provide the reader with gains in the opening couple of months and beyond.

The Weekly Members Reports form part of the comprehensive package on offer at the Betting Insiders Club, so if the last 12 months of punting haven’t quite worked out for you then why not make a positive change for the new campaign and find out more about the Insiders Club including a special offer – Click Here

Heavy Ground Sires

The following Table shows the performance by Sire (Top 10) starting with those with the most winners over the last 3 years.

Clearly blindly backing all of the above Sire’s offspring when they encounter heavy going is not a simple path to profits, although Kayf Tara looks promising.

Kayf Tara

A nine time Champion UK National Hunt Sire after signing off an illustrious career on the track where he won 10 races from 15 starts which included the Ascot Gold Cup twice. To date his career at stud has yielded 22 individual horses that have been rated at 150 or higher including Thistlecrack, Special Tiara, Edwulf and Carruthers.

On closer inspection the last three years have seen a big improvement in the stats for his offspring on heavy…

The more eagled eyed of you may spot that the total bets and wins has increased by one from the original Table, that’s because whilst this was being compiled Seaston Spirit won at Uttoxeter on New Year’s Eve!

The now 7yo has won three races from 18 runs in total but interestingly he has encountered heavy going on only 5 of those runs and those included all 3 wins!

The overall feeling from reviewing the runs of the offspring is rather than following them blindly it could pay to focus on the ones that are encountering heavy after running on faster going.

The same comment can also apply to a number of the Sire’s in the original table, so it can be used as a filter when assessing races being run in soggy underfoot conditions.

In addition to the original Table the research uncovered another trio of Sires whose offspring produced 120+ points profit when they encountered Heavy ground and when there are suitable entries these will be made available to Club Members on a dedicated community/forum thread.

As ever, thinking outside of the box can be a fruitful and profitable exercise!

Together we can win in 2020!

Darren & Steve

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