The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 2nd Nov)
Just before we move on to the coming weekend’s equine action it would be remiss not to mention how well a nifty set of micro methods performed in the Betting Insiders Club over the last few months.
In August we published Issue 199 of the Members Report and this particular edition contained a mini series of methods on how to potentially profit from a relative high profile Jumps Trainer over the Sept-Oct period.
The subsequent qualifiers were made available to Club Members on a dedicated community/forum thread and these performed really well with over 1/3 of them either winning or placing (where adv EW). Collectively they produced over 25 points profit to simple 1pt level stakes coupled with a cracking +62% Return on Investment!
Every day there are suggested bets across a range of sports including horse racing, football, greyhound racing and golf. These provide the Members with a time saving opportunity to develop a portfolio approach with a qualified shortlist of potential bets. In addition for those that are really pushed for time we also highlight one or two punts in the daily bulletin that tick many boxes and in recent weeks have included
Diamonique (adv EW) – 3rd 14/1, Robinshill (adv 7/2) – Won 5/2, Nortonthorpelegend – Won 9/2, Soldier’s Minute (adv 7/2) – Won 11/8 and Suitcase ‘N’ Taxi (adv 3/1) – Won 13/8.
The Insiders Club is always looking at ways to improve the Member experience and the latest Member Bonus is to feature a whole months’ worth of selections from high profile and profitable tipster services.
If your current punting activities are not delivering the level of profit that you would hope for then now is the perfect time to make a change for the better by finding out more about the Insiders Club including a very special offer – Click Here for Discount Offer
Now it’s over to the key trends for the big handicap chase at Ascot on Saturday:-
Sodexo Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3, Class 1, 2m7f180y, 20 fences) – Ascot 15.20pm
The £100,000 Sodexo Gold Cup Chase over three miles is the feature race of seven at Ascot this coming Saturday. The race was first run as the United House Gold Cup in October 2006 as a Class 2 event. In 2009 the race was upgraded to Listed class and was further upgraded to Grade 3 in 2011. The current sponsor Sodexo got involved with the race in 2015.
A different horse has won each of the renewals but trainer Gary Moore has saddled the winner of two of the last three with Traffic Fluide last year and Antony in 2016.
Age wise the best performing have been those between 6 and 9 with 8 of the last 10 renewals being won by that age group, although the vast majority of the runners fell into that category. In more recent times, the last 6 runnings, have all been won by 6-8 year-olds so that will be the group we will focus our attention on once the line-up for this year’s race is confirmed.
There has only been one winning clear favourite in the last decade but 6 of the 10 were returned at single figure odds and the only shock result market wise was back in 2009 when The Last Derby won at 33/1.
A decent last run has been a key element to the profile of a number of the winners with 8 of the last ten finishing in the first five, with the other two 7th and pulled up.
Five of the last 10 winners had run within the last 30 days whilst the remaining 50% were making their seasonal debut.
Only 2 of the last 10 were won by horses having their first run at Ascot and given there were 65 in that category the strike rate (3.08%) and level stakes loss (-21 to SP) could be useful to help reduce the field this time around.
8 out the 10 had experience of racing at 3 miles or further but a win wasn’t a prerequisite as the majority hadn’t recorded a win at 3 miles.
As you would expect with a race of this nature, all the winners had Handicap Chase experience with a minimum of 3 runs in such races, and there appears to be a sweet spot of 1 to 3 wins, which all of the last 10 had recorded prior to taking this event.
We will be using the above to whittle down the runners to a select group that possess the “winners’ attributes” and help us grab some profit.
Read on to find our final selection(s) :-
Sat 2nd Nov
1520 Ascot Sodexo Gold Cup
Vinndication heads the market at around 10/3 and looks to have solid claims. Has had a wind operation and steps up in trip on seasonal debut. With that in mind and at the price we will look elsewhere. Mister Malarky has winning C&D form and looks the type to progress after a solid start to his chase career last season. The other one of interest is Springtown Lake who has gone well when fresh but has to overcome a slight concern at the trip.
Mister Malarky – 7/1 Gen
Springtown Lake – 9/1 Gen (10/1 B365/BV)
Together We Can Win in 2019
Darren & Steve