The Weekend Bulletin (Sat 22nd June)
Unbelievably we are closing in on the final day at this year’s Royal Ascot and for the brand new Insiders Club Members Report, Issue 189, our resident Big Race Guru, Nick Hardman, has uncovered the top trends for the penultimate race of the meeting which is the 6f cavalry charge known as the Wokingham Stakes.
Alongside Nick’s content the latest report also has an insightful piece from Dave Renham on a potential way to evaluate the trainers and we wrap up this time around with the latest feedback from our hard working team of product and service testers. It is fair to say that most of the services that are reviewed do not deliver on their profit claims but Rod & Keith do unearth a few gems! You can find out the latest ones and a whole lot more here.
Now it’s over to Nick for the big Race trends…
The Wokingham Stakes (6f Class 2 Heritage Handicap 3yo+) – Sat 22nd Royal Ascot 5.00pm
Like many of the handicap races at the Royal Meeting, it usually attracts a bumper field close to 30 runners and the last 7 winners were all rated 99+ and all carried 8st 13lbs or more and I’m sticking with that this again this year.
12/15 had raced in the last 42 days, 19/22 posted a top 4 effort LTO and that looks strong whilst 17/22 were aged 4yo or 5yo (Out Do was a trends buster as an 8yo last year).
17/22 came from the top 8 in the betting and all bar one winner could be found in the top 14 which should eliminate around 10 to 14 runners. 18/22 had winning form over 6f and all previous winners had run no more than 4 times in the current season.
Perhaps more interesting is that 18 of the last 22 winners had experience racing over 7f or further and exactly half of those 22 winners had won over those distances and at a much higher strike rate than those whose wins came over no further than 6f.
14/22 had won between 2 and 7 career starts, 15/22 had won between 3 and 5 handicap races at a better strike rate than those with 1 or 2 handicap wins, 19/22 had placed in the current season Class 1, 2 or 3 LTO, 17/22 contested a handicap LTO and those with a Class 1 win on their CV have a superior strike rate.
- Top 4 finish LTO (preferably 1st or 2nd LTO)
- Top 8 in the betting
- Aged 4yo or 5yo
- Rated 99+
- No more than 4 runs in the current season
- Won over 6f
- Raced over 7f or further (and preferably won too)
- Carrying 8st 13lbs or more
- 2 to 7 career wins
- 3 to 5 handicap wins
- Previous winning form at class 1 level
- Placed in the current season
- Ran in a handicap LTO
- Raced at class 1, 2 or 3 LTO
Nick will be using the above to help whittle down the runners to a select few with the “winners profile” and you can find out which of the runners he settles on below.
Sat 22nd June
5.00pm Wokingham Stakes
Another solid trends race and the qualifiers are Soldier’s Minute and Cape Byron. At bigger prices Van Brugh and Summerghand have each way chances.
Cape Byron (was 8/1) 6/1 Gen 13/2 in places
Van Brugh @20/1 e/w (1/5 odds, 7 places, Skybet)
Soldier’s Minute @16/1 e/w (1/5 odds, 7 places, Skybet)
Summerghand @16/1 e/w (1/5 odds, 7 places, Skybet)
Together We Can Win in 2019
Darren & Steve